Package: Rlgt Type: Package Title: Bayesian Exponential Smoothing Models with Trend Modifications Version: 0.2-3 URL: https://github.com/cbergmeir/Rlgt Date: 2025-04-17 Authors@R: c( person("Slawek", "Smyl", email = "slaweks@hotmail.co.uk", role = "aut"), person("Christoph", "Bergmeir", email = "christoph.bergmeir@monash.edu", role = c("aut", "cre")), person("Erwin", "Wibowo", email = "rwinwibowo@gmail.com", role = "aut"), person("To Wang", "Ng", email = "edwinnglabs@gmail.com", role = "aut"), person("Xueying", "Long", email = "xueying.long@monash.edu", role = "aut"), person("Alexander", "Dokumentov", email = "alexander.dokumentov@gmail.com", role = "aut"), person("Daniel", "Schmidt", email = "daniel.schmidt@monash.edu", role = "aut"), person("Trustees of Columbia University", "", role = c("cph"), comment= "tools/make_cpp.R, R/stanmodels.R")) Description: An implementation of a number of Global Trend models for time series forecasting that are Bayesian generalizations and extensions of some Exponential Smoothing models. The main differences/additions include 1) nonlinear global trend, 2) Student-t error distribution, and 3) a function for the error size, so heteroscedasticity. The methods are particularly useful for short time series. When tested on the well-known M3 dataset, they are able to outperform all classical time series algorithms. The models are fitted with MCMC using the 'rstan' package. License: GPL-3 Encoding: UTF-8 LazyData: true ByteCompile: true Depends: R (>= 3.4.0), Rcpp (>= 0.12.0), methods, rstantools, forecast, truncnorm Imports: rstan (>= 2.26.0), sn LinkingTo: StanHeaders (>= 2.26.0), rstan (>= 2.26.0), BH (>= 1.66.0), Rcpp (>= 0.12.0), RcppEigen (>= 0.3.3.3.0), RcppParallel (>= 5.0.2) SystemRequirements: GNU make NeedsCompilation: yes RoxygenNote: 7.2.3 Suggests: doParallel, foreach, knitr, rmarkdown, Mcomp, RODBC, dplyr, ggplot2 VignetteBuilder: knitr Config/pak/sysreqs: make Repository: https://cbergmeir.r-universe.dev Date/Publication: 2025-04-19 20:28:53 UTC RemoteUrl: https://github.com/cbergmeir/rlgt RemoteRef: HEAD RemoteSha: 43f466cd738dbd4893b445f1d1a453d9f8fe8346 RemoteSubdir: Rlgt Packaged: 2026-07-04 11:19:43 UTC; root Author: Slawek Smyl [aut], Christoph Bergmeir [aut, cre], Erwin Wibowo [aut], To Wang Ng [aut], Xueying Long [aut], Alexander Dokumentov [aut], Daniel Schmidt [aut], Trustees of Columbia University [cph] (tools/make_cpp.R, R/stanmodels.R) Maintainer: Christoph Bergmeir